I’m often asked why the left has to be revived. Hasn’t the revival already happened with Obama’s election and the collapse of free market fundamentalism?
My answer to this question is no. The backlash to many of Obama’s policies will be strong, conservative interest groups are powerful, and, most importantly, I don’t think there has yet been a fundamental shift in moral values that will secure a liberal future for America.
In particular, foreign policy and security will be highly resistant to liberal influence.
The military/industrial complex is still in place and its supporters remain dominant in the press corps, policy institutes and think tanks that generate the conventional wisdom in Washington. Neo-conservatism—the ideology that brought us the Iraq War and the “global war on terror”—still represents mainstream thinking on foreign policy. (Eliot Abrams, a long-time, influential neo-con was just appointed to the Council on Foreign Relations) These institutions are likely to outlast the Obama administration and will be ready to reassert themselves when the Republicans regain power in Washington.
The manner in which the Iraq War plays out will likely benefit neo-cons, not liberals. If things remain quiet there and our troop commitment lessens, the neo-cons will take credit for the surge that worked, a policy that liberals opposed. If things turn violent again, it will be liberals who are blamed since it happened on their watch.
Furthermore, Obama’s Afghanistan policy does not represent a fundamental change in thinking. Juan Cole opines that Afghanistan is turning into Iraq:
“The secretary of defense is predicting that the US military will be in Afghanistan indefinitely and will only achieve limited goals there. (!) I ask myself, “why?’”
If Afghanistan continues to deteriorate, it will be Obama’s approach—more diplomacy and development aid—that will come under attack from neo-cons who will likely be successful in arguing that a more robust military response would have succeeded. Afghanistan may well be the quagmire that stymies the development of a genuinely liberal political culture.
Anti-communist militarism helped bring conservatives to power in the 20th Century. Militarism may well bring them back to power in the 21st—unless public attitudes undergo a more fundamental shift toward a less militaristic stance.
To bring about that shift is one among many reasons why liberalism is still in need of revival.
