Posts Tagged ‘Obama’s popularity’

State of the State

Sunday, September 27th, 2009

This week Obama is up.

After all the sturm and drang this summer over healthcare and townhall meetings, Obama’s poll numbers were suffering, liberals were slamming him for a lack of leadership and guts, and even some Democrats were talking about a 1 term presidency.

But my how have things changed. According to last Wednesday’s Gallup poll results , Obama’s approval rating has leveled out in the low-50 percents, about the same as Ronald Reagan’s and Bill Clinton’s at this point in their presidencies.

Thus, the Republican noise machine may have overplayed its hand: Via Charles Blow:

According to a poll released last week by the Pew Research Center, most Americans think that the health care debate has been “rude and disrespectful” and most of those who hold this view blame the opponents of the proposed legislation […]

According to a Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll published on Wednesday, a plurality of respondents said that if health care reform fails, the Republicans will be at fault. Those who disapproved of the way that Republicans are handling the health care debate outnumbered those who approved of their behavior by a margin of more than 3 to 1.

As Blow writes:

Maybe Obama was wise to hang back. While anger can simmer forever, overheated outrage is exhausting and ultimately counterproductive.

Anyone familiar with Aesop’s fable “The Tortoise and the Hare” surely remembers this lesson: slow and steady wins the race. I was beginning to think of Obama as the hare, but maybe he’s the tortoise.

Something for Nothing

Thursday, July 30th, 2009

The big news today was Obama’s slide in the polls. According to Pew, the President’s job approval has gone from 61% expressing approval in June to 54% today. That is a significant slide but given that Obama won the election with 53% of the vote, he is likely shedding voters who were never solid supporters.

Obama’s troubles getting health care through the sausage-making of Congress is likely to blame, largely because the discourse in the media has been about the cost of a plan that would cover everyone and how to pay for it.

For the past 30 years, the middle class has been told that we can have all the government services we need with low taxes. This is the so called “Two Santa Claus Theory” promoted by Republicans as a way to sell supply side economics—promise people what they want but always with low taxes.

So I imagine some people are shocked that expanding health care will cost money.

Another poll to be released soon by CBS/NY Times reports:

“Most Americans continue to want the federal government to focus on reducing the budget deficit rather than spending money to stimulate the national economy… Yet at the same time, most oppose some proposed solution for decreasing it.”

“Fifty-six percent of respondents said that they were not willing to pay more in taxes in order to reduce the deficit, and nearly as many said they were not willing for the government to provide fewer services in areas such as health care, education and defense spending.”

No one who is interested in solving problems could maintain public support when the public is so clueless.

As Dday writes at Hullabaloo:

America elected a Democrat because they didn’t like George Bush. But they didn’t elect a liberal ideology, even if they may agree with it on many points, because a liberal ideology wasn’t on offer. Nobody in the Democratic Party has pushed back against the Two Santa Claus theory, or offered up a competing theory of their own, in the thirty-plus years since it was invented. Obama spent the first few months, when he had a honeymoon and his approval ratings were high, assuring everyone that 95% of Americans will see a tax cut, that he was pragmatic and will only go with “what works,” and so on. And so when you get to an issue like health care, which does have moral overtones, which does speak to the fundamental rights of a society to ensure care for their sick and bleeding, there’s no ideological foundation to fall back upon, no belief that America is worth paying for and those who use the commons to a disproportionate degree need to give a little bit to maintain the societal fabric. […]

Nobody has fought the dominant wisdom, inside the Beltway and even in the country, and stated plainly that conservatives have lied to the country about economic issues for 30-plus years. The epic collapse of the economy under the Bush Administration provided an opportunity that nobody took.

Unless and until we start challenging conservative ideology and not conservative candidates, we will always have trouble making major changes because the public has swallowed a notion of government that makes no logical or coherent sense.

Well said.